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Pipeline Pulse > Oil > Why Is the Oil Value Dropping At present?
Oil

Why Is the Oil Value Dropping At present?

Editorial Team
Last updated: 2025/05/15 at 2:52 PM
Editorial Team 4 months ago
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Why Is the Oil Value Dropping At present?
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In an unique interview with Rigzone on Thursday, Invoice Farren-Value, Senior Analysis Fellow and Head of Gasoline Analysis on the Oxford Institute for Power Research, mentioned the oil worth is down at present on U.S. President Donald Trump “saying [the] U.S. [is] in severe talks with Iran for long run peace”.

Farren-Value informed Rigzone this suggests the attainable lifting of sanctions on Iran oil. 

Lucas Herrmann, the Head of Oil & Gasoline Fairness Analysis at BNP Paribas Exane, informed Rigzone in a separate unique interview on Thursday that the oil worth is dropping at present due to “dovish Iranian dialogue [on a] U.S. and Iran nuclear [deal]”.

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Herrmann added that there’s “much less perceived threat of Trump going laborious on Iranian exports”.

In an oil report despatched to Rigzone by the Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB (SEB) group on Thursday, Ole R. Hvalbye, a Commodities Analyst on the firm, said that “Iran is at present within the highlight, having signaled its willingness to signal a nuclear take care of the U.S. in trade for lifting financial sanctions”.

In a separate oil report despatched to Rigzone by the SEB group on Tuesday, Hvalbye mentioned the market was “pricing in relaxed restrictions on Iranian crude exports after President Trump signaled progress in nuclear negotiations over the weekend”.

“Additional talks are anticipated inside the subsequent week,” Hvalbye added in that report.

Inki Cho, Monetary Markets Strategist Marketing consultant to Exness, mentioned in a market evaluation despatched to Rigzone on Monday that “U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations have the potential to carry further Iranian crude to the market ought to a deal be reached, elevating the danger of renewed worth strain within the quick time period”.

Rigzone has contacted the White Home and the Iranian Ministry of Overseas Affairs for touch upon Farren-Value, Herrmann, Hvalbye, and Cho’s statements. On the time of writing, neither have responded to Rigzone.

In a video posted on Fast Response 47’s X web page on Wednesday, which was reposted by the White Home X web page, Trump mentioned “I wish to make a take care of Iran, I wish to do one thing if it’s attainable”. Fast Response 47 describes itself because the “official fast response account of the Trump 47 White Home”.

In its newest quick time period power outlook (STEO), which was launched on Might 6, the U.S. Power Info Administration (EIA) highlighted that Iran’s petroleum and different liquid fuels manufacturing averaged 4.74 million barrels per day within the first quarter of 2025 and 4.63 million barrels per day total in 2024.

In its earlier STEO, which was launched in April, the EIA highlighted that Iran’s petroleum and different liquid fuels manufacturing averaged 4.76 million barrels per day within the first quarter of this 12 months and 4.63 million barrels per day total in 2024.

The EIA identified in its STEOs that its petroleum and different liquid fuels manufacturing figures embody crude oil, lease condensate, pure gasoline plant liquids, different liquids, refinery processing acquire, and different unaccounted for liquids.

The EIA describes itself on its web site because the statistical and analytical company inside the U.S. Division of Power. It collects, analyzes, and disseminates impartial and neutral power info, in line with its web site.

Farren-Value has reported and researched the Center East power trade for 25 years, the Oxford Institute for Power Research web site notes. The positioning highlights that Farren-Value beforehand labored because the director of macro oil and gasoline intelligence at Enverus.

A bio on Herrmann’s social media states that he “has labored as a sell-side analyst for over 35 years constructing and main extremely rated sell-side analysis groups following Chemical compounds, Prescribed drugs and for the previous twenty years Oil & Gasoline each regionally and globally”.

SEB’s web site notes that Hvalbye has expertise from power markets and commodities from Norsk Hydro and Rystad Power and a bio on Cho’s social media states that he “specialize[s] in offering skilled insights on macroeconomic traits, cryptocurrency-related devices, derivatives, CFDs, and each day market reviews”.

To contact the writer, electronic mail andreas.exarheas@rigzone.com





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Editorial Team May 15, 2025
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