The Fuel Exporting Nations Discussion board (GECF) initiatives a 2 % enhance in pure gasoline consumption in 2025 on continued progress within the energy and industrial sectors.
World manufacturing can also be forecast to rise 2 %, pushed by the Center East, in response to the April launch of the GECF’s month-to-month report.
The GECF famous of anticipated financial slowdown and a decrease inflation charge relative to 2024. The Doha-based intergovernmental physique additionally identified vitality costs dropped for the second consecutive month in March 2025.
“The escalation of US tariffs and retaliatory measures from key buying and selling companions are anticipated to dampen commerce flows, contributing to a broader deceleration in world financial exercise”, acknowledged the report on the GECF web site. “Furthermore, rising commerce coverage uncertainty and persistently tight world monetary circumstances pose substantial draw back dangers to the worldwide outlook”.
Within the first two months of 2025 gasoline demand in main gas-consuming international locations that account for 60 % of world gasoline demand elevated 4 % year-on-year to 543 billion cubic meters (19.18 trillion cubic ft).
European Union gasoline demand final month climbed 5.2 % from the identical interval in 2024, totaling 32 Bcm and lengthening its progress to seven consecutive months. “This enhance was primarily pushed by larger consumption within the energy and residential sectors”, the GECF stated. “March 2025 was barely cooler than the record-breaking March of 2024, with temperatures averaging 6.03°C throughout European land areas – 0.08ºC decrease than the earlier yr”.
“In the meantime, decreased wind and hydro technology heightened reliance on gas-fired energy vegetation to take care of grid stability”, the GECF defined. “Moreover, industrial gasoline utilization continued its upward trajectory, supported by a rebound in main European economies and the benefit of stabilized gasoline costs”.
In the UK March 2025 marked a seventh consecutive year-on-year rise in gasoline consumption, with 6 Bcm recorded. Residential demand, although, dropped 5.2 % on decrease heating demand amid warmer-than-average temperatures. That was offset by a 37 % enhance in gasoline demand within the electrical energy sector amid a decline in wind and hydro technology.
In the meantime China’s obvious gasoline demand – manufacturing plus imports – fell 4.5 % year-over-year to 33.7 Bcm in March. Fuel-fired energy manufacturing slipped 5 % on will increase in nuclear and renewable technology.
Elsewhere in East Asia, Japanese and South Korean demand fell 7.7 % and a couple of.8 % respectively amid hotter climate. Japan consumed 8.1 Bcm, as energy sector demand additionally softened. South Korea consumed 5.4 Bcm in March.
Indian gasoline demand fell 5.8 % year-on-year to five.3 Bcm in March on weaker demand amongst energy and fertilizer producers and refineries.
United States demand fell 2.3 % to 77 Bcm. Fuel-fired technology declined, as did gasoline demand within the residential and industrial sectors. A lower in industrial gasoline demand got here amid dampened financial exercise.
In the meantime the GECF reported a 3.8 % year-on-year fall in world gasoline manufacturing in February, totaling 340 Bcm. “All the primary gasoline producing areas witnessed a damaging manufacturing variation, together with Eurasia, which witnessed the best decline, together with the lower in European manufacturing pushed by decrease gasoline output in Norway”, it stated.
North America remained the highest producing area accounting for 30 % of the worldwide determine in February. It was adopted by Eurasia with 20.5 %, the Center East with 19 % and Asia-Pacific with 16.5 %.
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