In its newest quick time period vitality outlook (STEO), which was launched on February 10, the U.S. Power Info Administration (EIA) projected that U.S. whole vitality consumption will stay under 2025 ranges in each 2026 and 2027.
In keeping with its newest STEO, the EIA now sees U.S. whole vitality consumption coming in at 96.00 quadrillion British thermal items (qBtu) this yr and 96.15 qBtu subsequent yr. In 2025, U.S. whole vitality consumption was 96.19 qBtu, the STEO confirmed.
A quarterly breakdown included within the EIA’s newest STEO projected that U.S. whole vitality consumption will are available in at 25.30 qBtu within the first quarter of this yr, 22.41 qBtu within the second quarter, 24.06 qBtu within the third quarter, 24.23 qBtu within the fourth quarter, 24.93 qBtu within the first quarter of subsequent yr, 22.61 qBtu within the second quarter, 24.29 qBtu within the third quarter, and 24.32 qBtu within the fourth quarter of 2027.
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The EIA’s February STEO confirmed that whole vitality demand was 25.45 qBtu within the first quarter of 2025, 22.45 qBtu within the second quarter, 24.05 qBtu within the third quarter, and 24.24 qBtu within the fourth quarter.
Liquid Fuels, NatGas
Regardless of projecting that U.S. whole vitality consumption is not going to rise above 2025 ranges for the following two years in its newest STEO, the EIA forecast that U.S. liquid fuels consumption will improve in each 2026 and 2027.
In keeping with the EIA’s February STEO, the EIA sees U.S. liquid fuels averaging 20.59 million barrels per day in 2026 and 20.66 million barrels per day in 2027. This demand got here in at 20.57 million barrels per day in 2025, the STEO confirmed.
The STEO projected that U.S. liquid fuels consumption will common 20.30 million barrels per day within the first quarter of this yr, 20.60 million barrels per day within the second quarter, 20.78 million barrels per day within the third quarter, 20.66 million barrels per day within the fourth quarter, 20.32 million barrel per day within the first quarter of 2027, 20.82 million barrels per day within the second quarter, 20.80 million barrels per day within the third quarter, and 20.68 million barrels per day within the fourth quarter of 2027.
The EIA forecast in its newest STEO that U.S. pure gasoline consumption will keep flat this yr, then drop subsequent yr.
In its February STEO, the EIA projected that U.S. pure gasoline demand will common 91.6 billion cubic toes per day in 2026 and 91.5 billion cubic toes per day in 2027. This demand got here in at 91.6 billion cubic toes per day in 2025, the STEO confirmed.
A quarterly breakdown included within the EIA’s February STEO projected that U.S. pure gasoline consumption will common 109.2 billion cubic toes within the first quarter, 77.6 billion cubic toes within the second quarter, 85.3 billion cubic toes within the third quarter, 94.7 billion cubic toes within the fourth quarter, 105.8 billion cubic toes within the first quarter of subsequent yr, 78.1 billion cubic toes within the second quarter, 86.7 billion cubic toes within the third quarter, and 95.6 billion cubic toes within the fourth quarter of 2027.
Renewables
U.S. renewables consumption is projected to rise in each 2026 and 2027 within the EIA’s February STEO.
The EIA forecasts within the STEO that U.S. renewables demand will are available in at 9.34 qBtu in 2026 and 9.89 qBtu in 2027. In 2025, this demand got here in at 8.76 qBtu, the STEO highlighted.
The EIA projected in its newest STEO that U.S. renewables consumption will are available in at 2.24 qBtu within the first quarter of this yr, 2.44 qBtu within the second quarter, 2.36 qBtu within the third quarter, 2.30 qBtu within the fourth quarter, 2.38 qBtu within the first quarter of subsequent yr, 2.62 qBtu within the second quarter, 2.50 qBtu within the third quarter, and a couple of.40 qBtu within the fourth quarter of 2027.
The EIA famous in its STEO that renewable vitality contains minor elements of non-marketed renewable vitality that’s neither purchased nor offered, both straight or not directly, as inputs to marketed vitality. The EIA added within the STEO that it doesn’t estimate or undertaking end-use consumption of non-marketed renewable vitality.
In a word associated to its whole vitality consumption figures, the EIA mentioned in its STEO that the conversion from bodily items to Btu is calculated utilizing a subset of conversion elements used within the calculations of gross vitality consumption in EIA’s Month-to-month Power Overview (MER).
The EIA collects, analyzes, and disseminates impartial and neutral vitality data to advertise sound policymaking, environment friendly markets, and public understanding of vitality and its interplay with the economic system and the surroundings, the EIA states on its web site.
To contact the creator, electronic mail andreas.exarheas@rigzone.com
