In its newest brief time period vitality outlook (STEO), which was launched on December 9, the U.S. Power Info Administration (EIA) raised its U.S. whole vitality consumption forecast for 2025.
Based on its December STEO, the EIA now sees U.S. whole vitality consumption coming in at 95.85 quadrillion British thermal items (qBtu) this yr. In its earlier STEO, which was launched on November, the EIA projected that this determine can be 95.71 qBtu.
The EIA highlighted in its newest STEO that whole vitality consumption was 25.45 qBtu within the first quarter of this yr, 22.45 qBtu within the second quarter, and 23.87 qBtu within the third quarter. The EIA projected in its December STEO that this determine will probably be 24.07 qBtu within the fourth quarter.
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In its earlier STEO, the EIA noticed whole vitality consumption coming in at 23.96 qBtu within the fourth quarter of this yr. That STEO confirmed that this demand was 25.45 qBtu within the first quarter, 22.45 qBtu within the second quarter, and 23.85 qBtu within the third quarter of 2025.
U.S. whole vitality consumption was 94.54 qBtu in 2024, the EIA’s newest STEO identified.
Liquid Fuels, NatGas
The EIA raised each its U.S. liquid fuels and U.S. pure fuel consumption forecasts for this yr in its newest STEO.
Based on its December outlook, the EIA now sees liquid fuels demand averaging 20.59 million barrels per day and pure fuel averaging 91.8 billion cubic toes per day in 2025. In its November STEO, the EIA projected that the previous would common 20.49 million barrels per day and the latter would common 91.6 billion cubic toes per day this yr.
The EIA’s newest STEO projected that liquid fuels consumption will common 20.52 million barrels per day and pure fuel demand will common 94.3 billion cubic toes per day within the fourth quarter. Liquid fuels consumption was 20.31 million barrels per day within the first quarter, 20.51 million barrels per day within the second quarter, and 21.02 million barrels per day within the third quarter, the December STEO confirmed. Pure fuel demand stood at 110.3 billion cubic toes per day within the first quarter, 78.2 billion cubic toes per day within the second quarter, and 84.7 billion cubic toes per day within the third quarter, the STEO highlighted.
The EIA’s earlier STEO forecasted that liquid fuels consumption and pure fuel consumption would common 20.35 million barrels per day and 93.8 billion cubic toes per day, respectively, within the fourth quarter of this yr. That STEO confirmed that liquid fuels consumption was 20.31 million barrels per day within the first quarter, 20.51 million barrels per day within the second quarter, and 20.78 million barrels per day within the third quarter. It confirmed that pure fuel demand was 110.3 billion cubic toes per day within the first quarter, 78.2 billion cubic toes per day within the second quarter, and 84.2 billion cubic toes per day within the third quarter.
Renewables
In its newest STEO, the EIA decreased its U.S. renewables consumption forecast for this yr.
This STEO projected that renewables consumption will are available in at 8.78 qBtu in 2025. The EIA’s earlier STEO forecasted that this demand can be 8.80 qBtu this yr.
The EIA’s December STEO projected that renewables consumption will are available in at 2.17 qBtu within the fourth quarter. In its earlier STEO, the EIA noticed fourth quarter 2025 renewables demand at 2.18 qBtu.
The EIA highlighted in its newest STEO that renewables consumption was 2.16 qBtu within the first quarter, 2.28 qBtu within the second quarter, and a pair of.17 qBtu within the third quarter. In its November STEO, the EIA identified that this demand was 2.16 qBtu within the first quarter, 2.27 qBtu within the second quarter, and a pair of.19 qBtu within the third quarter.
The EIA famous in its STEOs that renewable vitality contains minor parts of non-marketed renewable vitality that’s neither purchased nor bought, both instantly or not directly, as inputs to marketed vitality. The EIA added within the STEOs that it doesn’t estimate or venture end-use consumption of non-marketed renewable vitality.
In a notice associated to its whole vitality consumption figures, the EIA stated in its STEOs that the conversion from bodily items to Btu is calculated utilizing a subset of conversion elements used within the calculations of gross vitality consumption in EIA’s Month-to-month Power Evaluate (MER).
The EIA collects, analyzes, and disseminates unbiased and neutral vitality data to advertise sound policymaking, environment friendly markets, and public understanding of vitality and its interplay with the economic system and the atmosphere, the EIA states on its web site.
To contact the writer, electronic mail andreas.exarheas@rigzone.com
