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Pipeline Pulse > Oil > Analysts Take a look at Gabon Oil Scenario
Oil

Analysts Take a look at Gabon Oil Scenario

Last updated: 2023/09/13 at 9:54 AM
3 months ago
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The navy authorities in Gabon will seemingly proceed to scrutinize previous tax funds, notably within the oil and gasoline sector.

That’s in line with Maja Bovcon, the Senior Africa Analyst in danger intelligence firm Verisk Maplecroft, who identified to Rigzone that this could be following within the footsteps of ousted Gabon President Ali Bongo.

“Given the significance of oil and gasoline revenues for public funds, the reviewing of contractual phrases and scrapping tax exemptions may even develop into more and more seemingly over the subsequent two years,” Bovcon advised Rigzone.

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“Oil and gasoline corporations will seemingly be topic of elevated scrutiny additionally due to reported shut hyperlinks between former oil minister Vincent de Paul Massassa and Ali Bongo’s son, Noureddin Bongo Valentin,” Bovcon added.

“The navy junta will seemingly attempt to decide whether or not contracts allotted to grease and gasoline corporations immediately benefited Noureddin, Ali Bongo’s heir-apparent, and the previous oil minister,” the Verisk Maplecroft analyst went on to state.

In a report despatched to Rigzone earlier this month, analysts at BMI, a Fitch Options firm, outlined that Gabon was an OPEC wildcard clouding the corporate’s outlook.

“Issues have … been raised in Gabon within the wake of the latest coup, which ousted former President Ali Bongo Ondimba,” the analysts famous within the report.

“Nonetheless, Gabonese manufacturing is comparatively small by OPEC requirements, standing at simply 211,000 barrels per day. There was no disruption to the oil sector to date and, absent a broader civil battle, we won’t alter our outlook in the marketplace,” they added.

“Battle seems unlikely at this juncture, with the regime change seeming to get pleasure from vital well-liked assist and the brand new navy chief – Basic Brice Clotaire Oligui Nguema – promising a return to democratic rule,” they continued.

“Oil is a key lifeline for the financial system and efforts will seemingly be made to maintain exports flowing, each underneath transitional rule and after the formation of a brand new authorities,” the analysts went on to state in that report.

A press release posted on the African Union (AU) web site on August 30 said that the Chairperson of the AU Fee, Moussa Faki Mahamat, “is following with nice concern the state of affairs in Gabon and strongly condemns the tried coup d’état within the nation as a method out of the present post-electoral disaster”.

“The Chairman of the Fee encourages all political, civil and navy actors in Gabon to offer precedence to peaceable political avenues, and a speedy return to democratic constitutional order within the nation,” the assertion added.

In a press release posted on the UN web site on the identical day, Stéphane Dujarric, the spokesman for the UN Secretary-Basic, Antonio Guterres, stated, “the Secretary-Basic is following the evolving state of affairs in Gabon very intently”.

“He notes with deep concern the announcement of the election outcomes amidst studies of great infringements of elementary freedoms,” he added.

“The Secretary-Basic reaffirms his sturdy opposition to navy coups. The Secretary-Basic calls on all actors concerned to train restraint, interact in an inclusive and significant dialogue and be certain that the rule of legislation and human rights are absolutely revered,” he added.

“He additionally calls on the nationwide military and safety forces to ensure the bodily integrity of the President of the Republic and his household. The United Nations stands by the individuals of Gabon,” he continued.

Gabon grew to become a full member of OPEC in 1975 however terminated its membership in 1995 earlier than rejoining in July 2016, OPEC’s web site exhibits.

In 2021, the worth of the nation’s petroleum exports hit $4.64 billion, its crude oil manufacturing was 181,000 barrels per day, and its confirmed crude oil reserves stood at two billion barrels, in line with the OPEC web site.

To contact the creator, e-mail andreas.exarheas@rigzone.com



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September 13, 2023
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