In its newest quick time period vitality outlook (STEO), which was launched on January 13, the U.S. Vitality Info Administration (EIA) projected that U.S. whole vitality consumption will drop in 2026 and rise in 2027.
In response to its newest STEO, the EIA now sees U.S. whole vitality consumption coming in at 95.37 quadrillion British thermal models (qBtu) this 12 months and 95.96 qBtu subsequent 12 months. In 2025, U.S. whole vitality consumption was 96.06 qBtu the STEO confirmed.
A quarterly breakdown included within the EIA’s newest STEO projected that U.S. whole vitality consumption will are available at 24.74 qBtu within the first quarter of this 12 months, 22.39 qBtu within the second quarter, 24.03 qBtu within the third quarter, 24.21 qBtu within the fourth quarter, 24.88 qBtu within the first quarter of subsequent 12 months, 22.61 qBtu within the second quarter, 24.26 qBtu within the third quarter, and 24.21 qBtu within the fourth quarter of 2027.
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The EIA’s January STEO confirmed that whole vitality demand was 25.45 qBtu within the first quarter of 2025, 22.45 qBtu within the second quarter, 24.06 qBtu within the third quarter, and 24.09 qBtu within the fourth quarter.
Liquid Fuels, NatGas
In its newest STEO, the EIA projected that U.S. liquid fuels consumption will keep flat in 2026, then rise subsequent 12 months.
In response to the EIA’s January STEO, the EIA sees U.S. liquid fuels averaging 20.61 million barrels per day in 2026 and 20.69 million barrels per day in 2027. This demand got here in at 20.61 million barrels per day in 2025, the STEO confirmed.
The STEO projected that U.S. liquid fuels consumption will common 20.22 million barrels per day within the first quarter of this 12 months, 20.69 million barrels per day within the second quarter, 20.81 million barrels per day within the third quarter, 20.71 million barrels per day within the fourth quarter, 20.34 million barrel per day within the first quarter of 2027, 20.89 million barrels per day within the second quarter, 20.83 million barrels per day within the third quarter, and 20.71 million barrels per day within the fourth quarter of 2027.
The EIA forecast in its newest STEO that U.S. pure gasoline consumption will drop this 12 months, then rise subsequent 12 months, however nonetheless stay beneath 2025 ranges.
In its STEO, the EIA projected that U.S. pure gasoline demand will common 90.3 billion cubic toes per day in 2026 and 90.9 billion cubic toes per day in 2027. This demand got here in at 91.5 billion cubic toes per day in 2025, the STEO confirmed.
A quarterly breakdown included within the EIA’s January STEO projected that U.S. pure gasoline consumption will common 105.1 billion cubic toes within the first quarter, 77.4 billion cubic toes within the second quarter, 85.0 billion cubic toes within the third quarter, 94.0 billion cubic toes within the fourth quarter, 105.1 billion cubic toes within the first quarter of subsequent 12 months, 77.7 billion cubic toes within the second quarter, 86.5 billion cubic toes within the third quarter, and 94.5 billion cubic toes within the fourth quarter of 2027.
Renewables
U.S. renewables consumption is projected to rise in each 2026 and 2027 within the EIA’s newest STEO.
In its January STEO, the EIA forecasts that U.S. renewables demand will are available at 9.43 qBtu in 2026 and 9.95 qBtu in 2027. In 2025, this demand got here in at 8.80 qBtu, the STEO highlighted.
The EIA projected in its newest STEO that U.S. renewables consumption will are available at 2.26 qBtu within the first quarter of this 12 months, 2.46 qBtu within the second quarter, 2.38 qBtu within the third quarter, 2.33 qBtu within the fourth quarter, 2.41 qBtu within the first quarter of subsequent 12 months, 2.61 qBtu within the second quarter, 2.51 qBtu within the third quarter, and a couple of.42 qBtu within the fourth quarter of 2027.
The EIA famous in its STEO that renewable vitality contains minor elements of non-marketed renewable vitality that’s neither purchased nor bought, both instantly or not directly, as inputs to marketed vitality. The EIA added within the STEO that it doesn’t estimate or undertaking end-use consumption of non-marketed renewable vitality.
In a observe associated to its whole vitality consumption figures, the EIA mentioned in its STEO that the conversion from bodily models to Btu is calculated utilizing a subset of conversion components used within the calculations of gross vitality consumption in EIA’s Month-to-month Vitality Evaluation (MER).
The EIA collects, analyzes, and disseminates impartial and neutral vitality info to advertise sound policymaking, environment friendly markets, and public understanding of vitality and its interplay with the economic system and the atmosphere, the EIA states on its web site.
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